Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 9.273428 10.614443 12.095913 13.856380 15.894574 18.183885 20.955495
2025-08-10 7.322862 9.020747 11.048700 13.658311 16.940363 20.948191 26.239097
2025-08-17 6.161433 7.998557 10.319060 13.482371 17.708902 23.198347 30.928498
2025-08-24 5.326091 7.212820 9.706382 13.269307 18.272318 25.110425 35.272833
2025-08-31 4.671060 6.558036 9.150409 13.007558 18.661848 26.741409 39.330216
2025-09-07 4.383448 6.362633 9.180964 13.535416 20.181086 30.083050 46.218401
2025-09-14 4.043052 6.044814 8.987835 13.691073 21.134012 32.651669 52.200986
2025-09-21 3.707898 5.694391 8.700946 13.656022 21.762364 34.751449 57.646656
2025-09-28 3.392095 5.339019 8.365269 13.496551 22.153448 36.481685 62.644954
2025-10-05 3.246890 5.236433 8.411831 13.950672 23.587313 40.065175 71.245853
2025-10-12 3.095679 5.107620 8.399408 14.296393 24.858977 43.486896 79.955008
2025-10-19 2.991577 5.045943 8.488992 14.819143 26.484549 47.690544 90.620657
2025-10-26 2.744973 4.722594 8.109522 14.484099 26.537747 49.061695 96.076969
2025-11-02 2.545008 4.463657 7.819546 14.281918 26.813811 50.874677 102.639282
2025-11-09 2.368277 4.230735 7.554646 14.097546 27.097508 52.718899 109.480722
2025-11-16 2.203472 4.005602 7.284056 13.874051 27.275323 54.359441 116.081061
2025-11-23 2.047590 3.784315 7.001790 13.599495 27.317479 55.716942 122.218846
2025-11-30 2.008574 3.780675 7.130449 14.153199 29.120097 60.949143 137.788084
2025-12-07 1.925304 3.684528 7.071353 14.316492 30.109970 64.535023 150.006293
2025-12-14 1.826105 3.549158 6.923519 14.279721 30.659058 67.199981 160.365000
2025-12-21 1.720960 3.393883 6.723304 14.112429 30.899295 69.185620 169.305141
2025-12-28 1.687921 3.382687 6.816211 14.588840 32.646079 74.856145 188.409762
2026-01-04 1.645141 3.347853 6.856620 14.951568 34.165245 80.155270 207.312755